PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that in the Polymarket "GPT Astra 6.1+ release date" prediction market, the probability that GPT Astra 6.1+ will be released before October 31 has risen to 46%, rising 21% in 24 hours.
According to the settlement rules, if OpenAI opens a GPT model with version number 6.1 or above to the public before the specified date, and the name or model identification contains "Astra", the corresponding market will settle as "Yes". The model needs to be actually open to the public for use. Closed testing or placeholder names that only appear on the official website will not be counted. The settlement is mainly based on the official information of OpenAI.
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