According to BlockBeats news, on October 4, crypto trader Ansem wrote that frequently watching the market and judging the price trend based on the 15-minute K-line can easily lead to over-trading. Investors should manage spot, perpetual contract and on-chain high-risk trading accounts separately, and should not try to capture every local top and bottom, as this may harm long-term investment returns. Rather than trading frequently, it's better to study historical bull markets and observe how long uptrends typically last.
Altcoins typically have faster rise cycles, often outperforming the market for 4 to 6 months, before a new market leader emerges, especially after a 10x+ increase in market capitalization. However, there may be a few exceptions to this cycle: some altcoins will see significant revenue growth as their prices rise, so their fundamentals may improve in tandem. In past cycles, altcoins peaked mainly due to the shift in market attention and weakening momentum. However, if there are substantial changes in the revenue and other data of some projects this round, institutional funds may continue to actively buy, and investors need to promptly adjust their original judgments based on new information.
In the previous cycle, Bitcoin bottomed in January 2023 and peaked in October 2025, with the upward trend lasting approximately 33 months. If this cycle had already bottomed in July, it is currently only in its 4th month. It believes that in the longer-term bull market, there will be multiple "small bull markets" led by specific altcoins. Investors need to identify these phased strong assets and continue to reinvest profits into outstanding performance targets, so that short-term winners can gradually be converted into long-term investments.